Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.008111 0.009099 0.010181 0.011456 0.012924 0.014564 0.016542
2025-04-06 0.006323 0.007605 0.009128 0.011085 0.013555 0.016592 0.020653
2025-04-13 0.005335 0.006710 0.008432 0.010775 0.013922 0.018058 0.024006
2025-04-20 0.004742 0.006181 0.008064 0.010748 0.014545 0.019826 0.027916
2025-04-27 0.004418 0.005945 0.008020 0.011106 0.015684 0.022395 0.033307
2025-05-04 0.004037 0.005577 0.007737 0.011068 0.016214 0.024107 0.037637
2025-05-11 0.003752 0.005307 0.007556 0.011139 0.016888 0.026094 0.042690
2025-05-18 0.003459 0.004996 0.007275 0.011012 0.017216 0.027540 0.047028
2025-05-25 0.003270 0.004820 0.007176 0.011152 0.017979 0.029791 0.053166
2025-06-01 0.003055 0.004583 0.006957 0.011068 0.018341 0.031375 0.058299
2025-06-08 0.002798 0.004261 0.006574 0.010665 0.018090 0.031798 0.061185
2025-06-15 0.002653 0.004104 0.006445 0.010683 0.018591 0.033686 0.067420
2025-06-22 0.002596 0.004094 0.006570 0.011181 0.020088 0.037808 0.079550
2025-06-29 0.002396 0.003831 0.006245 0.010834 0.019927 0.038579 0.084290
2025-07-06 0.002224 0.003603 0.005961 0.010532 0.019812 0.039421 0.089370
2025-07-13 0.002111 0.003468 0.005829 0.010506 0.020253 0.041530 0.098100
2025-07-20 0.002062 0.003440 0.005888 0.010854 0.021522 0.045701 0.113299
2025-07-27 0.001963 0.003317 0.005761 0.010817 0.021949 0.047977 0.123860
2025-08-03 0.001886 0.003228 0.005690 0.010885 0.022619 0.050946 0.137248
2025-08-10 0.001792 0.003101 0.005535 0.010762 0.022830 0.052795 0.147715
2025-08-17 0.001735 0.003039 0.005503 0.010898 0.023669 0.056415 0.164937
2025-08-24 0.001658 0.002934 0.005378 0.010817 0.023970 0.058646 0.178189
2025-08-31 0.001553 0.002770 0.005123 0.010425 0.023455 0.058536 0.183177